Peterhead vs Kelty Hearts Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Regular Season - 36 Balmoor· Peterhead Saturday, May 2, 2026 14:00

Peterhead PPG 1.47

0-2 MISS

Kelty Hearts PPG 0.94

Over3.5· +1.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterhead face Kelty Hearts in Scotland - League One on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterhead a 47% chance, the draw 27% and Kelty Hearts 26%, so Peterhead are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Peterhead and 1.2 for Kelty Hearts (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterhead are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 0.94 for Kelty Hearts. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.3%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -14.9%

Draw 27.0%

Odds: 3.55 EV: -4.2%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -3.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 56.6% Odds: 1.77 +0.2%

Over 3.5 34.3% Odds: 2.95 +1.2%

BTTS 59.8% Odds: 1.67 -0.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Peterhead

1.72

Kelty Hearts

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -0.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -0.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Over3.5 (+1.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

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Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.47) > Away POOR (0.94)