Today / Scotland - League One / East Fife vs Inverness

East Fife vs Inverness Prediction— Scotland - League One

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 14:00

East Fife

PPG 1.24 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Inverness

PPG 1.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 65.6% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.8%0-117.1%0-214.9%0-38.6%0-4+5.6%1 1-05.7%1-19.9%1-28.6%1-35.0%1-4+3.2%2 2-01.7%2-12.9%2-22.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.3%3-10.6%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.9% 16.7% 6.00 -28.6%

Draw 22.5% 23.8% 4.20 -5.5%

Away win 65.6% 69.4% 1.44 -5.5%

Over 2.5 40.9% 60.6% 1.65 -32.5%

Over 3.5 20.5% 38.5% 2.60 -46.7%

BTTS 36.3% 57.1% 1.75 -36.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -9.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob36.3%

A 66% / xG 0.6-1.7 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.1%

#2 0–2 14.9%

#3 1–1✓ 9.9%

#4 0–0 9.8%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

East Fife0.6

Inverness1.7

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.9% · O3.5 PROB 20.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EAST FIFE · PPG 1.24

INVERNESS · PPG 1.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.76) vs Home AVERAGE (1.24)

Win probability 1X2

East Fife (H) 11.9%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -28.6%

Draw 22.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.5%

Inverness (A) 65.6%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

East Fife face Inverness in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives East Fife a 12% chance, the draw 23% and Inverness 66%, so Inverness are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for East Fife and 1.7 for Inverness (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, East Fife are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.76 for Inverness. This match finished 1-1.

East Fife vs Inverness Prediction— Scotland - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More Scotland - League One Predictions