East Fife vs Inverness Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Regular Season - 35 MGM Timber Bayview Stadium· Methil Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

East Fife PPG 1.24

1-1 HIT CS3

Inverness PPG 1.76

Draw· -5.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

East Fife face Inverness in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives East Fife a 12% chance, the draw 23% and Inverness 66%, so Inverness are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for East Fife and 1.7 for Inverness (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, East Fife are averaging 1.24 points per game versus 1.76 for Inverness. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 11.9%

Odds: 6.00 EV: -28.6%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -5.5%

Away 65.6%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -5.5%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 40.9% Odds: 1.65 -32.5%

Over 3.5 20.5% Odds: 2.60 -46.7%

BTTS 36.3% Odds: 1.75 -36.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✔

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

East Fife

0.58

Inverness

1.74

Model SuggestionAway -5.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -5.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.76) vs Home AVERAGE (1.24)