Kelty Hearts vs Cove Rangers Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Regular Season - 35 New Central Park· Kelty Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Kelty Hearts PPG 0.59

0-2 MISS

Cove Rangers PPG 0.94

Draw· -6.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kelty Hearts face Cove Rangers in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kelty Hearts a 30% chance, the draw 28% and Cove Rangers 43%, so Cove Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Kelty Hearts and 1.3 for Cove Rangers (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kelty Hearts are averaging 0.59 points per game versus 0.94 for Cove Rangers. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.5%

Odds: 2.95 EV: -13.0%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -6.9%

Away 42.7%

Odds: 2.15 EV: -8.2%

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.3% Odds: 1.85 -23.6%

Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: 3.20 -33.4%

BTTS 46.9% Odds: 1.67 -21.7%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Kelty Hearts

1.03

Cove Rangers

1.30

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.59) vs Away POOR (0.94)