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Cove Rangers vs East Fife Prediction— Scotland - League One

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 14:00

Cove Rangers

PPG 1.06 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

East Fife

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.8% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-18.0%0-24.1%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-012.0%1-112.2%1-26.2%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.1%2-19.3%2-24.7%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.6%3-14.7%3-22.4%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-12.5%4+-21.3%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% 46.5% 2.15 +1.5%

Draw 29.4% 29.9% 3.35 -1.5%

Away win 23.5% 33.9% 2.95 -30.7%

Over 2.5 46.7% 56.5% 1.77 -17.3%

Over 3.5 25.1% 33.9% 2.95 -25.9%

BTTS 51.8% 62.5% 1.60 -17.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -9.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.8%

H 47% / xG 1.5-1.0 / O2.5 47% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 12.0%

#3 0–0✓ 7.9%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 2–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cove Rangers1.5

East Fife1.0

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.7% · O3.5 PROB 25.1%

Form & verdict PPG

COVE RANGERS · PPG 1.06

EAST FIFE · PPG 0.76

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.76)

Win probability 1X2

Cove Rangers (H) 47.2%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +1.5%

Draw 29.4%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -1.5%

East Fife (A) 23.5%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -30.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cove Rangers face East Fife in Scotland - League One on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cove Rangers a 47% chance, the draw 29% and East Fife 24%, so Cove Rangers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Cove Rangers and 1.0 for East Fife (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cove Rangers are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 0.76 for East Fife. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Cove Rangers vs East Fife Prediction— Scotland - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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