Hamilton vs Peterhead Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Regular Season - 35 ZLX Stadium· Hamilton Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Hamilton PPG 1.71

3-1 MISS

Peterhead PPG 1.06

Home· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Hamilton face Peterhead in Scotland - League One on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hamilton a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Peterhead 13%, so Hamilton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Hamilton and 0.9 for Peterhead (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hamilton are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.06 for Peterhead. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.1%

Odds: 1.55 EV: +8.6%

Draw 17.4%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -33.9%

Away 12.5%

Odds: 5.10 EV: -36.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.3% Odds: 1.65 +4.4%

Over 3.5 41.2% Odds: 2.60 +7.1%

BTTS 53.6% Odds: 1.65 -11.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 1-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Hamilton

2.37

Peterhead

0.90

Model SuggestionHome +8.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.71) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)