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Cove Rangers vs Peterhead Prediction— Scotland - League One

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Cove Rangers

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

DLLWL

3 – 0

FULL TIME

Peterhead

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-113.3%0-27.2%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.4%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.3%2-16.8%2-23.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.1%3-12.3%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.1% 39.2% 2.55 -18.1%

Draw 28.5% 29.4% 3.40 -1.9%

Away win 39.4% 40.8% 2.45 -3.5%

Over 2.5 42.7% 54.1% 1.85 -21.0%

Over 3.5 20.6% 31.3% 3.20 -20.4%

BTTS 47.6% 59.9% 1.67 -20.5%

Home O1.5 30.6% 43.5% 2.30 -29.6%

Away O1.5 35.3% 44.4% 2.25 -20.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 59%

ROI 7.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.6%

D 28% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 12.2%

#4 1–0 12.4%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cove Rangers1.0

Peterhead1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

COVE RANGERS · PPG 1.18

PETERHEAD · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 2.10 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cove Rangers (H) 32.1%

ODDS 2.55 · IMPLIED 39.2% EV -18.1%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -1.9%

Peterhead (A) 39.4%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -3.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cove Rangers face Peterhead in Scotland - League One on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cove Rangers a 32% chance, the draw 28% and Peterhead 39%, so Peterhead are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cove Rangers and 1.1 for Peterhead (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cove Rangers are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.48 for Peterhead. This match finished 3-0.

Cove Rangers vs Peterhead Prediction— Scotland - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

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