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Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 logo Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Regular Season - 34 Prince Mohammed bin Abdul Aziz Stadium· Medina Thursday, May 14, 2026 18:00
Al Ula logo Al Ula PPG 2.19
4-2 MISS
Al Zulfi logo Al Zulfi PPG 1.50
Away· +9.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.5%
Odds: 1.53 EV: -19.7%
Draw 25.5%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -0.3%
Away 22.0%
Odds: 5.25 EV: +9.3%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.3% Odds: 1.62 -15.3%
Over 3.5 30.7% Odds: 2.55 -21.7%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.65 -14.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Ula
1.90
Al Zulfi
0.90

Model Suggestion

Home -19.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -19.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 67%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 2.7%
Bet Hit 58% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away GOOD (1.50)

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