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Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Matchday 3 ·Tuesday, September 1, 2026, 16:20

Al Orubah

PPG 1.30 · HOME

LAST 5

LDD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Al Zulfi

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDD ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-110.2%0-26.0%0-32.4%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.9%1-112.9%1-27.7%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.9%2-18.2%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.9%3-13.5%3-22.1%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.5%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.6% 45.5% 2.20 -23.9%

Draw 30.8% 31.3% 3.20 -1.4%

Away win 34.6% 33.9% 2.95 +2.1%

Over 2.5 45.4% 47.6% 2.10 -4.7%

Over 3.5 28.6% 27.0% 3.70 +3.5%

BTTS 49.9% 55.6% 1.80 -10.2%

Home O1.5 38.4% 43.5% 2.30 -11.7%

Away O1.5 34.5% 35.7% 2.80 -3.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob49.9%

D 31% / xG 1.3-1.2 / O2.5 45% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.5%

#3 0–1 10.2%

#4 1–0 10.9%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Orubah1.3

Al Zulfi1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ORUBAH · PPG 1.30

AL ZULFI · PPG 1.70

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.46 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Orubah (H) 34.6%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -23.9%

Draw 30.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -1.4%

Al Zulfi (A) 34.6%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Orubah face Al Zulfi in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Tuesday, September 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Orubah a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Al Zulfi 35%, so Al Orubah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Orubah and 1.2 for Al Zulfi (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Orubah are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 1.70 for Al Zulfi. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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