Today / Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 / Al Wehda Club vs Damac

Al Wehda Club vs Damac Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Matchday 3 ·Wednesday, September 2, 2026, 16:15

Al Wehda Club

PPG 1.37 · HOME

LAST 5

DD ···

UPCOMING

Damac

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-110.3%0-25.8%0-32.1%0-4+0.8%1 1-011.7%1-113.0%1-27.3%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.4%2-18.3%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.1%3-13.5%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.4% 52.4% 1.91 -28.6%

Draw 32.7% 29.9% 3.35 +9.6%

Away win 29.9% 27.8% 3.60 +4.6%

Over 2.5 44.5% 51.3% 1.95 -13.2%

Over 3.5 25.9% 29.9% 3.35 -7.9%

BTTS 48.3% 57.1% 1.75 -15.5%

Home O1.5 38.4% 51.3% 1.95 -25.1%

Away O1.5 33.2% 33.3% 3.00 -0.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.3%

D 33% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.2%

#3 1–0 11.7%

#4 2–1 8.3%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wehda Club1.3

Damac1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WEHDA CLUB · PPG 1.37

DAMAC · PPG 1.42

🎯 STRONG BET - Draw signal + Draw value aligned

80%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.15, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Wehda Club (H) 37.4%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -28.6%

Draw 32.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +9.6%

Damac (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wehda Club face Damac in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wehda Club a 37% chance, the draw 33% and Damac 30%, so Al Wehda Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Al Wehda Club and 1.1 for Damac (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wehda Club are averaging 1.37 points per game versus 1.42 for Damac. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +15.0%.

Al Wehda Club vs Damac Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Predictions