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Al Zulfi vs Al Wehda Club Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Matchday 2 ·Wednesday, August 26, 2026, 16:05

Al Zulfi

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

WDD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Al Wehda Club

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

DD ···

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.8%0-23.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.6%1-111.5%1-26.2%1-32.2%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.9%2-19.6%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-05.0%3-15.4%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.0% 35.1% 2.85 +36.8%

Draw 27.8% 30.8% 3.25 -5.8%

Away win 24.2% 44.4% 2.25 -27.3%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.8% 1.93 -2.5%

Over 3.5 30.4% 29.9% 3.35 +1.8%

BTTS 52.7% 58.8% 1.70 -10.4%

Home O1.5 48.9% 39.2% 2.55 +24.7%

Away O1.5 32.8% 45.5% 2.20 -27.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.7%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 2–0 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 0–0✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Zulfi1.7

Al Wehda Club1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 30.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL ZULFI · PPG 1.33

AL WEHDA CLUB · PPG 1.17

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Al Zulfi (H) 48.0%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +36.8%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -5.8%

Al Wehda Club (A) 24.2%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -27.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Zulfi face Al Wehda Club in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Wednesday, August 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Zulfi a 48% chance, the draw 28% and Al Wehda Club 24%, so Al Zulfi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Zulfi and 1.1 for Al Wehda Club (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Zulfi are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.17 for Al Wehda Club. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +63.1%. This match finished 0-0.

Al Zulfi vs Al Wehda Club Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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