Today / Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 / Al Taee vs Al Jandal

Al Taee vs Al Jandal Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 17:40

Al Taee

PPG 1.08 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Jandal

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDL ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 58.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.7%0-24.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-08.6%1-111.1%1-27.2%1-33.1%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.2%2-19.3%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.0%3-15.2%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.2%4+-22.0%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 58.8% 1.70 -22.5%

Draw 24.4% 28.2% 3.55 -8.0%

Away win 30.0% 23.8% 4.20 +26.0%

Over 2.5 56.7% 56.5% 1.77 +0.4%

Over 3.5 35.4% 34.5% 2.90 +2.7%

BTTS 58.6% 59.9% 1.67 -2.1%

Home O1.5 49.6% 57.8% 1.73 -14.2%

Away O1.5 38.4% 32.3% 3.10 +19.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -14.4%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob58.6%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1✓ 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Taee1.7

Al Jandal1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.7% · O3.5 PROB 35.4%

Form & verdict PPG

AL TAEE · PPG 1.08

AL JANDAL · PPG 0.91

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.38 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Al Taee (H) 45.6%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -22.5%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -8.0%

Al Jandal (A) 30.0%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +26.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Taee face Al Jandal in Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Taee a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Al Jandal 30%, so Al Taee are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Al Taee and 1.3 for Al Jandal (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Taee are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 0.91 for Al Jandal. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +33.3%. This match finished 2-1.

Al Taee vs Al Jandal Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Saudi-Arabia - Division 1 Predictions