Leagues / NORWAY / 3. Division - Girone 5

3. Division - Girone 5

NORWAY · 15 MATCHES TRACKED · 22 MAY 2026 – 11 JUN 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 15 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

53.3%

1X2

8/15

80.0%

O/U 2.5

12/15

73.3%

BTTS

11/15

20.0%

Exact score

3/15

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

71.4%

Hit rate

5/7

1.36

Avg odds

-1.1%

ROI

-0.1u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.32 · -3.0% ROI

AWAY O1.5 · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.38 · -21.0% ROI

OVER 3.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.46 · +46.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+36.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

67%

Hit

-7.3%

ROI

Match log

15 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

June 2026 // 2 PICKS · 1 HIT · 1 MISS

11 JUN Ulfstind vs Floya AO1.5 3–0 MISS 1 JUN Tromso B vs Stromsgodset B Over 2.5 4–1 HIT

May 2026 // 13 PICKS · 11 HIT · 2 MISS

31 MAY Finnsnes vs Kongsvinger B HO1.5 1–0 MISS 31 MAY Skjetten vs Fauske/Sprint AO1.5 2–3 HIT 30 MAY Harstad vs Bossekop HO1.5 5–1 HIT 30 MAY Lillestrom B vs Alta Over 2.5 -20% 2–4 HIT 30 MAY Skjervoy vs Ulfstind HO1.5 2–0 HIT 30 MAY Floya vs Skedsmo HO1.5 2–3 HIT 26 MAY Stromsgodset B vs Lillestrom B Over 3.5 +20% 1–3 HIT 25 MAY Ulfstind vs Finnsnes Over 3.5 1–3 HIT 25 MAY Fauske/Sprint vs Skjervoy Over 2.5 3–3 HIT 25 MAY Skjetten vs Harstad Over 2.5 -0% 1–2 HIT 23 MAY Bossekop vs Floya Away 2–5 HIT 23 MAY Skedsmo vs Alta Over 2.5 -11% 2–0 MISS 22 MAY Kongsvinger B vs Tromso B Over 2.5 -17% 2–1 HIT