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Strømsgodset II vs Skedsmo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 12:00

Strømsgodset II

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skedsmo

PPG 2.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-14.3%0-24.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-04.4%1-18.2%1-27.7%1-34.8%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.1%2-17.8%2-27.3%2-34.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-02.6%3-14.9%3-24.6%3-32.9%3-4+2.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.6%4+-23.3%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.5% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 36.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 46.6% — — —

BTTS 63.4% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 72%

Score Hit 19%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob63.4%

H 42% / xG 1.9-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 7.8%

#3 1–2 7.7%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 3–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Strømsgodset II1.9

Skedsmo1.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.6%

Form & verdict PPG

STRØMSGODSET II · PPG 1.38

SKEDSMO · PPG 2.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.02 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Strømsgodset II (H) 41.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skedsmo (A) 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Strømsgodset II face Skedsmo in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Strømsgodset II a 42% chance, the draw 22% and Skedsmo 36%, so Strømsgodset II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Strømsgodset II and 1.9 for Skedsmo (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Strømsgodset II are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 2.14 for Skedsmo.

Strømsgodset II vs Skedsmo Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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