Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Bossekop vs Strømsgodset II

Bossekop vs Strømsgodset II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 17 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 16:00

Bossekop

PPG 0.62 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Strømsgodset II

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWLL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.4%0-11.2%0-21.8%0-31.7%0-4+2.5%1 1-01.1%1-13.2%1-24.6%1-34.4%1-4+6.4%2 2-01.4%2-14.1%2-25.9%2-35.6%2-4+8.3%3 3-01.2%3-13.5%3-25.0%3-34.8%3-4+7.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-14.2%4+-26.0%4+-35.8%4+-4+8.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% — — —

Draw 18.7% — — —

Away win 43.5% — — —

Over 2.5 83.0% — — —

Over 3.5 59.4% — — —

BTTS 72.2% — — —

Home O1.5 66.3% — — —

Away O1.5 72.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 5.9%

#2 3–2 5.0%

#3 2–3 5.6%

#4 3–3 4.8%

#5 2–1✓ 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bossekop2.6

Strømsgodset II2.9

COMBINED 5.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.0% · O3.5 PROB 59.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSSEKOP · PPG 0.62

STRØMSGODSET II · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.31 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bossekop (H) 37.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strømsgodset II (A) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bossekop face Strømsgodset II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bossekop a 38% chance, the draw 19% and Strømsgodset II 44%, so Strømsgodset II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Bossekop and 2.9 for Strømsgodset II (5.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bossekop are averaging 0.62 points per game versus 1.29 for Strømsgodset II. This match finished 2-1.

Bossekop vs Strømsgodset II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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