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Harstad vs Fløya Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 16:00

Harstad

PPG 2.29 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Fløya

PPG 1.62 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 2.29 vs 1.62 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.3%0-21.0%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-02.5%1-14.1%1-23.3%1-31.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-04.1%2-16.6%2-25.3%2-32.9%2-4+1.7%3 3-04.4%3-17.1%3-25.8%3-33.1%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-08.1%4+-113.0%4+-210.5%4+-35.7%4+-4+3.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.7% — — —

Draw 15.8% — — —

Away win 22.5% — — —

Over 2.5 77.5% — — —

Over 3.5 56.2% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 7.1%

#2 2–1 6.6%

#3 2–2 5.3%

#4 4–1 5.8%

#5 3–2✓ 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Harstad3.2

Fløya1.6

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 77.5% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HARSTAD · PPG 2.29

FLØYA · PPG 1.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.62 for Home, form 2.29 vs 1.62 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Harstad (H) 61.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fløya (A) 22.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Harstad face Fløya in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Harstad a 62% chance, the draw 16% and Fløya 23%, so Harstad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Harstad and 1.6 for Fløya (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Harstad are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.62 for Fløya. This match finished 3-2.

Harstad vs Fløya Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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