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Bossekop vs Tromsø II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 14:00

Bossekop

PPG 0.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tromsø II

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.1%0-24.2%0-32.8%0-4+2.2%1 1-03.8%1-17.7%1-27.8%1-35.2%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.2%3-14.5%3-24.6%3-33.1%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.2%4+-23.3%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 40.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.4% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 68.9% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 38 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 21%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob68.9%

A 41% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.8%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bossekop1.9

Tromsø II2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BOSSEKOP · PPG 0.57

TROMSØ II · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bossekop (H) 37.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tromsø II (A) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bossekop face Tromsø II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bossekop a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Tromsø II 41%, so Tromsø II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bossekop and 2.0 for Tromsø II (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bossekop are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 0.71 for Tromsø II.

Bossekop vs Tromsø II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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