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Skedsmo vs Tromsø II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 17:00

Skedsmo

PPG 2.25 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWWW

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Tromsø II

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWDL

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.52 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.9%0-21.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.1%1-17.3%1-23.8%1-31.3%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.1%2-19.3%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.7%3-17.9%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-09.1%4+-19.3%4+-24.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.8% — — —

Draw 19.9% — — —

Away win 22.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.6% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 60.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.3%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 2–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 3.8%

#5 3–1✓ 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skedsmo2.6

Tromsø II1.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.6% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SKEDSMO · PPG 2.25

TROMSØ II · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.52 for Home, form 2.25 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Skedsmo (H) 57.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tromsø II (A) 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Skedsmo face Tromsø II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skedsmo a 58% chance, the draw 20% and Tromsø II 22%, so Skedsmo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Skedsmo and 1.0 for Tromsø II (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skedsmo are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Tromsø II. This match finished 3-1.

Skedsmo vs Tromsø II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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