Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind

Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 11:00

Kongsvinger II

PPG 1.14 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Ulfstind

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-10.9%0-20.8%0-30.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-01.8%1-13.3%1-22.9%1-31.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-03.2%2-15.7%2-25.0%2-33.0%2-4+1.9%3 3-03.7%3-16.5%3-25.8%3-33.4%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-113.7%4+-212.2%4+-37.2%4+-4+4.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.7% — — —

Draw 15.5% — — —

Away win 22.8% — — —

Over 2.5 83.1% — — —

Over 3.5 66.9% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 47.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.5%

#2 2–2 5.0%

#3 3–2 5.8%

#4 4–1 5.7%

#5 2–1✓ 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kongsvinger II3.5

Ulfstind1.8

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 83.1% · O3.5 PROB 66.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KONGSVINGER II · PPG 1.14

ULFSTIND · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.70 for Home, form 1.14 vs 0.50 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Kongsvinger II (H) 61.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ulfstind (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kongsvinger II face Ulfstind in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kongsvinger II a 62% chance, the draw 16% and Ulfstind 23%, so Kongsvinger II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.5 for Kongsvinger II and 1.8 for Ulfstind (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kongsvinger II are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.50 for Ulfstind. This match finished 2-1.

Kongsvinger II vs Ulfstind Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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