Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Alta vs Kongsvinger II
Alta vs Kongsvinger II Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5
Matchday 16 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 56% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.1%
Form & verdict
ALTA · PPG 2.43
KONGSVINGER II · PPG 1.50
xG gap +1.05 - moderate Home edge
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Alta face Kongsvinger II in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alta a 56% chance, the draw 21% and Kongsvinger II 23%, so Alta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Alta and 1.3 for Kongsvinger II (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alta are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.50 for Kongsvinger II.