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Fauske Sprint vs Alta Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Matchday 17 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:15

Fauske Sprint

PPG 1.38 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Alta

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-12.0%0-22.4%0-31.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-02.1%1-14.9%1-25.7%1-34.5%1-4+4.6%2 2-02.5%2-15.8%2-26.9%2-35.4%2-4+5.6%3 3-02.0%3-14.7%3-25.5%3-34.3%3-4+4.4%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-14.9%4+-25.8%4+-34.6%4+-4+4.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.7% — — —

Draw 19.1% — — —

Away win 43.1% — — —

Over 2.5 76.6% — — —

Over 3.5 56.2% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 65.8% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 86%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 25%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.9%

#2 1–2 5.7%

#3 2–3 5.4%

#4 2–1 5.8%

#5 1–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fauske Sprint2.4

Alta2.4

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.6% · O3.5 PROB 56.2%

Form & verdict PPG

FAUSKE SPRINT · PPG 1.38

ALTA · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fauske Sprint (H) 37.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Alta (A) 43.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fauske Sprint face Alta in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fauske Sprint a 38% chance, the draw 19% and Alta 43%, so Alta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Fauske Sprint and 2.4 for Alta (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fauske Sprint are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 0.75 for Alta. This match finished 1-5.

Fauske Sprint vs Alta Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

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