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Bryne vs Haugesund Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Bryne

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

LWWWL

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Haugesund

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.1%0-24.1%0-32.8%0-4+2.2%1 1-03.8%1-17.7%1-27.8%1-35.2%1-4+4.2%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+3.9%3 3-02.2%3-14.5%3-24.6%3-33.1%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.3%4+-23.3%4+-32.2%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.8% 37.7% 2.65 -2.5%

Draw 21.6% 26.7% 3.75 -11.4%

Away win 41.7% 45.5% 2.20 -8.3%

Over 2.5 68.2% 71.4% 1.40 -4.5%

Over 3.5 48.2% 50.0% 2.00 -3.6%

BTTS 65.6% 75.2% 1.33 -12.8%

Home O1.5 56.3% 54.6% 1.83 +3.0%

Away O1.5 56.9% 59.9% 1.67 -5.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.6%

A 42% / xG 1.9-2.0 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.7%

#2 1–2 7.8%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.3%

#5 1–3 5.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bryne1.9

Haugesund2.0

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.2% · O3.5 PROB 48.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BRYNE · PPG 1.56

HAUGESUND · PPG 1.80

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bryne (H) 36.8%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -2.5%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -11.4%

Haugesund (A) 41.7%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bryne face Haugesund in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bryne a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Haugesund 42%, so Haugesund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bryne and 2.0 for Haugesund (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bryne are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.80 for Haugesund. The best value bet our model finds is TT_AwayO25, with an expected value of +14.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Bryne vs Haugesund Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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