Today / Norway - 1st Division / Raufoss vs Sandnes ULF

Raufoss vs Sandnes ULF Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Raufoss

PPG 1.11 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sandnes ULF

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.2%0-24.8%0-32.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.6%1-111.4%1-27.6%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.0%2-26.0%2-32.7%2-4+1.2%3 3-03.6%3-14.8%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.7%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.2% 40.8% 2.45 +3.4%

Draw 23.5% 28.2% 3.55 -10.0%

Away win 34.3% 40.8% 2.45 -16.0%

Over 2.5 59.8% 65.4% 1.53 -8.5%

Over 3.5 37.4% 43.5% 2.30 -14.0%

BTTS 60.8% 70.4% 1.42 -13.7%

Home O1.5 47.3% 51.8% 1.93 -8.7%

Away O1.5 40.9% 51.8% 1.93 -21.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob60.8%

H 42% / xG 1.6-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raufoss1.6

Sandnes ULF1.3

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RAUFOSS · PPG 1.11

SANDNES ULF · PPG 0.78

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.25 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Raufoss (H) 42.2%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV +3.4%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -10.0%

Sandnes ULF (A) 34.3%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -16.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raufoss face Sandnes ULF in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raufoss a 42% chance, the draw 24% and Sandnes ULF 34%, so Raufoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Raufoss and 1.3 for Sandnes ULF (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raufoss are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 0.78 for Sandnes ULF. This match finished 0-3.

Raufoss vs Sandnes ULF Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1st Division Predictions