Today / Norway - 1st Division / Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb

Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Matchday 20 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 15:00

Ranheim

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

3 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

ODD Ballklubb

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 72.0% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.3%0-22.2%0-31.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-03.1%1-15.8%1-25.5%1-33.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-03.8%2-17.3%2-26.9%2-34.4%2-4+3.2%3 3-03.2%3-16.1%3-25.8%3-33.7%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-16.9%4+-26.6%4+-34.2%4+-4+3.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 44.4% 2.25 +15.7%

Draw 19.8% 25.6% 3.90 -13.7%

Away win 28.8% 40.0% 2.50 -16.8%

Over 2.5 72.0% 80.0% 1.25 -10.0%

Over 3.5 52.0% 61.7% 1.62 -15.8%

BTTS 69.6% 82.0% 1.22 -15.1%

Home O1.5 65.8% 67.6% 1.48 -2.6%

Away O1.5 56.9% 64.5% 1.55 -11.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-5

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.6%

H 51% / xG 2.5-1.9 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.3%

#2 2–2 6.9%

#3 1–1 5.8%

#4 3–1 6.1%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim2.5

ODD Ballklubb1.9

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 52.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM · PPG 1.70

ODD BALLKLUBB · PPG 1.33

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim (H) 51.4%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +15.7%

Draw 19.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -13.7%

ODD Ballklubb (A) 28.8%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -16.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim face ODD Ballklubb in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim a 51% chance, the draw 20% and ODD Ballklubb 29%, so Ranheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Ranheim and 1.9 for ODD Ballklubb (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.33 for ODD Ballklubb. The best value bet our model finds is TT_HomeO25, with an expected value of +19.5%. This match finished 3-5.

Ranheim vs ODD Ballklubb Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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