Leagues / NORWAY / 1. Division
1. Division
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 49 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
59.2%
1X2
29/49
69.4%
O/U 2.5
34/49
57.1%
BTTS
28/49
24.5%
Exact score
12/49
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
49
Settled
69.4%
Hit rate
34/49
1.51
Avg odds
+5.8%
ROI
+2.8u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=31 71.0% HIT · AVG 1.46 · +1.7% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=6 83.3% HIT · AVG 1.39 · +16.2% ROI
BTTS · N=6 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.43 · -28.3% ROI
AWAY O1.5 · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.64 · +14.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.68 · -100.0% ROI
OVER 3.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.30 · +130.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 3.30 · +230.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+34.7%
ROI
✓ Solid
6
Bets
83%
Hit
+22.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
14
Bets
57%
Hit
-2.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
23
Bets
70%
Hit
-1.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
July 2026 // 6 PICKS · 5 HIT · 1 MISS
4 JUL Egersund vs Moss Over 2.5 +5% 3–0 HIT4 JUL Hodd vs Stromsgodset Over 2.5 -9% 4–3 HIT3 JUL Raufoss vs Strommen BTTS -3% 1–0 MISS3 JUL Kongsvinger vs Sogndal Over 2.5 +5% 5–1 HIT3 JUL Ranheim vs Stabaek BTTS -10% 2–5 HIT2 JUL Lyn vs Asane Over 2.5 -10% 6–2 HITJune 2026 // 9 PICKS · 8 HIT · 1 MISS
27 JUN Haugesund vs Kongsvinger Over 2.5 +1% 4–2 HIT27 JUN Strommen vs Moss Over 2.5 +7% 3–2 HIT27 JUN Stabaek vs Bryne Over 2.5 -9% 2–0 MISS27 JUN Sandnes Ulf vs Raufoss Over 2.5 -1% 3–0 HIT27 JUN Lyn vs Hodd Away +70% 1–4 HIT27 JUN Asane vs Ranheim Over 2.5 +4% 3–0 HIT27 JUN Sogndal vs Egersund Over 2.5 +2% 4–2 HIT21 JUN Raufoss vs Sogndal Over 2.5 +3% 3–1 HIT21 JUN Egersund vs Haugesund Over 2.5 +5% 5–2 HIT