Botola Pro

MOROCCO · 30 MATCHES TRACKED · 22 APR 2026 – 11 MAY 2026

▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE

SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 30 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

36.7%

1X2

11/30

50.0%

O/U 2.5

15/30

40.0%

BTTS

12/30

46.7%

Exact score

14/30

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

45.5%

Hit rate

5/11

1.80

Avg odds

-14.8%

ROI

-1.6u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=6 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.78 · -41.7% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.77 · -4.5% ROI

BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · +105.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+85.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

50%

Hit

-6.0%

ROI

Match log

30 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 3 PICKS · 2 HIT · 1 MISS

11 MAY Olympic Safi vs FUS Rabat BTTS +7% 1–1 HIT 11 MAY Yacoub El Manso vs Kawkab M. — NO PICK 2–1 —11 MAY R. Zemamra vs Dcheira — NO PICK 0–0 —10 MAY Ittihad Tanger vs Difaa El Jadida — NO PICK 1–1 —10 MAY Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Away -8% 2–3 HIT 9 MAY Raja Casablanca vs Wydad — NO PICK 0–1 —8 MAY Kawkab M. vs R. Zemamra — NO PICK 1–2 —7 MAY Difaa El Jadida vs Hassania Agadir — NO PICK 2–2 —7 MAY FAR Rabat vs Olympic Safi Home -12% 1–1 MISS 6 MAY FUS Rabat vs Ittihad Tanger — NO PICK 1–1 —6 MAY Wydad vs Meknes — NO PICK 2–0 —6 MAY Maghreb de Fes vs Raja Casablanca — NO PICK 0–2 —4 MAY Hassania Agadir vs Olympic Safi — NO PICK 2–1 —4 MAY Kawkab M. vs Dcheira — NO PICK 2–1 —3 MAY R. Zemamra vs Wydad — NO PICK 1–0 —