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R. Zemamra vs Dcheira Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Regular Season - 20 ·Monday, May 11, 2026, 20:00

R. Zemamra

PPG 1.11 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Dcheira

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-112.4%0-25.7%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.9%2-17.3%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.9%3-12.6%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 57.8% 1.73 -32.2%

Draw 33.5% 30.8% 3.25 +8.9%

Away win 27.3% 21.7% 4.60 +15.3%

Over 2.5 40.2% 45.5% 2.20 -11.6%

Over 3.5 14.4% 23.8% 4.20 -23.7%

BTTS 48.1% 50.0% 2.00 -3.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.1%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 13.5%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 12.4%

#5 2–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Zemamra1.1

Dcheira0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.4%

Form & verdict PPG

R. ZEMAMRA · PPG 1.11

DCHEIRA · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.11), Away AVERAGE (1.22)

Win probability 1X2

R. Zemamra (H) 39.2%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -32.2%

Draw 33.5%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +8.9%

Dcheira (A) 27.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Zemamra face Dcheira in Morocco - Botola Pro on Monday, May 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Zemamra a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Dcheira 27%, so R. Zemamra are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for R. Zemamra and 0.9 for Dcheira (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Zemamra are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.22 for Dcheira. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.3%. This match finished 0-0.

R. Zemamra vs Dcheira Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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