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R. Zemamra vs Wydad Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 16:00

R. Zemamra

PPG 0.88 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Wydad

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-114.1%0-210.0%0-34.8%0-4+2.3%1 1-08.8%1-112.5%1-28.9%1-34.2%1-4+2.1%2 2-03.9%2-15.6%2-24.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.9%3 3-01.2%3-11.7%3-21.2%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.6% 23.8% 4.20 -9.3%

Draw 30.7% 31.3% 3.20 -1.8%

Away win 47.7% 55.6% 1.80 -14.1%

Over 2.5 40.8% 42.6% 2.35 -4.1%

Over 3.5 20.4% 22.2% 4.50 -8.2%

BTTS 46.7% 48.8% 2.05 -4.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob46.7%

A 48% / xG 0.9-1.4 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–1 14.1%

#3 0–0 9.9%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–2 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Zemamra0.9

Wydad1.4

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.8% · O3.5 PROB 20.4%

Form & verdict PPG

R. ZEMAMRA · PPG 0.88

WYDAD · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.89) vs Home POOR (0.88)

Win probability 1X2

R. Zemamra (H) 21.6%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -9.3%

Draw 30.7%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -1.8%

Wydad (A) 47.7%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Zemamra face Wydad in Morocco - Botola Pro on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Zemamra a 22% chance, the draw 31% and Wydad 48%, so Wydad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for R. Zemamra and 1.4 for Wydad (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Zemamra are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.89 for Wydad. This match finished 1-0.

R. Zemamra vs Wydad Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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