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Raja Casablanca vs Wydad Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Regular Season - 20 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 19:00

Raja Casablanca

PPG 2.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Wydad

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-020.0%0-111.6%0-23.4%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.5%1-112.0%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.6%2-16.2%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.6%3-12.1%3-20.6%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.7%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.2% 42.9% 2.33 -1.7%

Draw 34.0% 35.1% 2.85 -3.1%

Away win 23.9% 31.3% 3.20 -14.1%

Over 2.5 35.1% 34.7% 2.88 +1.1%

Over 3.5 8.0% 16.7% 6.00 -31.2%

BTTS 45.9% 45.5% 2.20 +1.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.8%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.9%

H 42% / xG 1.0-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 20.0%

#2 1–0 20.5%

#3 1–1 12.0%

#4 2–0 10.6%

#5 0–1✓ 11.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raja Casablanca1.0

Wydad0.6

COMBINED 1.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 8.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RAJA CASABLANCA · PPG 2.40

WYDAD · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.40) > Away GOOD (1.70)

Win probability 1X2

Raja Casablanca (H) 42.2%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV -1.7%

Draw 34.0%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -3.1%

Wydad (A) 23.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raja Casablanca face Wydad in Morocco - Botola Pro on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raja Casablanca a 42% chance, the draw 34% and Wydad 24%, so Raja Casablanca are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Raja Casablanca and 0.6 for Wydad (1.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raja Casablanca are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.70 for Wydad. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +1.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Raja Casablanca vs Wydad Prediction— Morocco - Botola Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

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