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Makedonija vs Sileks Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Regular Season - 33 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 14:30

Makedonija

PPG 1.27 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sileks

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-111.7%0-29.4%0-35.0%0-4+2.9%1 1-07.4%1-111.9%1-29.5%1-35.1%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.8%2-16.0%2-24.8%2-32.6%2-4+1.5%3 3-01.3%3-12.0%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.3% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 45.3% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 26.8% — — —

BTTS 52.4% — — —

Home O1.5 27.0% — — —

Away O1.5 47.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 6.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.4%

A 45% / xG 1.0-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 1–2 9.5%

#4 0–2 9.4%

#5 0–0 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Makedonija1.0

Sileks1.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.8%

Form & verdict PPG

MAKEDONIJA · PPG 1.27

SILEKS · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Makedonija (H) 28.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sileks (A) 45.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Makedonija face Sileks in Macedonia - First League on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Makedonija a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Sileks 45%, so Sileks are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Makedonija and 1.6 for Sileks (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Makedonija are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.53 for Sileks. This match finished 4-2.

Makedonija vs Sileks Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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