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Shkendija vs Struga Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Monday, August 24, 2026, 17:00

Shkendija

PPG 2.27 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Struga

PPG 1.72 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-17.2%0-23.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.4%1-111.7%1-26.0%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-09.3%2-19.6%2-24.9%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.1%3-15.2%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.1%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.5% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 54.3% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 32.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 46%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -7.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.7%

#2 1–0 11.4%

#3 2–1✓ 9.6%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shkendija1.6

Struga1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SHKENDIJA · PPG 2.27

STRUGA · PPG 1.72

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.60 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Shkendija (H) 51.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Struga (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shkendija face Struga in Macedonia - First League on Monday, August 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shkendija a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Struga 24%, so Shkendija are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Shkendija and 1.0 for Struga (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shkendija are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.72 for Struga. This match finished 2-1.

Shkendija vs Struga Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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