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Shkupi vs Rabotnicki Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 14:00

Shkupi

PPG 0.07 · HOME

0 – 7

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Rabotnicki

PPG 0.81 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: POOR form (0.81) vs Home POOR (0.07)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-18.1%0-210.5%0-39.0%0-4+10.7%1 1-02.8%1-17.2%1-29.2%1-37.9%1-4+9.4%2 2-01.2%2-13.1%2-24.1%2-33.5%2-4+4.2%3 3-00.4%3-10.9%3-21.2%3-31.0%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 64.8% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 45.4% — — —

BTTS 52.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 6.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-7

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob52.9%

A 65% / xG 0.9-2.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.5%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 0–3 9.0%

#4 1–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shkupi0.9

Rabotnicki2.6

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SHKUPI · PPG 0.07

RABOTNICKI · PPG 0.81

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: POOR form (0.81) vs Home POOR (0.07)

Win probability 1X2

Shkupi (H) 13.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rabotnicki (A) 64.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shkupi face Rabotnicki in Macedonia - First League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shkupi a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Rabotnicki 65%, so Rabotnicki are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Shkupi and 2.6 for Rabotnicki (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shkupi are averaging 0.07 points per game versus 0.81 for Rabotnicki. This match finished 0-7.

Shkupi vs Rabotnicki Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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