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Rabotnicki vs Tikves Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Regular Season - 33 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 14:30

Rabotnicki

PPG 1.13 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Tikves

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away GOOD (1.53)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-18.1%0-26.9%0-34.0%0-4+2.5%1 1-06.3%1-110.8%1-29.3%1-35.3%1-4+3.3%2 2-04.2%2-17.3%2-26.2%2-33.5%2-4+2.2%3 3-01.9%3-13.2%3-22.8%3-31.6%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.5% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 42.0% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 36.4% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 38.7% — — —

Away O1.5 51.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 6.8%

Bet Hit 62%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.7%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.8%

#2 1–2 9.3%

#3 2–1 7.3%

#4 0–2 6.9%

#5 0–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rabotnicki1.3

Tikves1.7

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RABOTNICKI · PPG 1.13

TIKVES · PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away GOOD (1.53)

Win probability 1X2

Rabotnicki (H) 32.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tikves (A) 42.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rabotnicki face Tikves in Macedonia - First League on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rabotnicki a 33% chance, the draw 26% and Tikves 42%, so Tikves are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Rabotnicki and 1.7 for Tikves (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rabotnicki are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.53 for Tikves. This match finished 1-3.

Rabotnicki vs Tikves Prediction— Macedonia - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

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