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Macedonia - First League logo Macedonia flag Macedonia - First League Regular Season - 33 Sunday, May 24, 2026 14:30
Pelister logo Pelister PPG 1.40
1-0 HIT CS3
Bashkimi logo Bashkimi PPG 1.27
Away· +29.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.0%
Odds: 1.48 EV: -27.5%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +1.1%
Away 24.9%
Odds: 6.00 EV: +29.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.70 -15.1%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.75 -8.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Pelister
1.58
Bashkimi
1.08

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+29.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%
O2.5/Under 48%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 32%
ROI -30.6%
Bet Hit 38% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...
48%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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