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Macedonia - First League logo Macedonia flag Macedonia - First League Regular Season - 32 Saturday, May 16, 2026 14:00
Bashkimi logo Bashkimi PPG 1.38
3-3 MISS
Makedonija logo Makedonija PPG 0.69
Away· +9.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 48.2%
Odds: 1.65 EV: -20.5%
Draw 26.0%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -3.1%
Away 25.8%
Odds: 4.50 EV: +9.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.73 -9.0%
Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 2.80 -12.3%
BTTS 53.9% Odds: 1.67 -10.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 0-0
4th 1-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Bashkimi
1.53
Makedonija
1.16

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away POOR (0.69)

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