Premier League

JAMAICA · 27 MATCHES TRACKED · 19 APR 2026 – 6 MAY 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 27 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

74.1%

1X2

20/27

55.6%

O/U 2.5

15/27

48.1%

BTTS

13/27

37.0%

Exact score

10/27

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

57.1%

Hit rate

4/7

1.58

Avg odds

-3.3%

ROI

-0.2u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.74 · +32.7% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.26 · -41.5% ROI

BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.65 · -19.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+133.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

100%

Hit

+62.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

50%

Hit

-29.5%

ROI

Match log

27 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 9 PICKS · 6 HIT · 3 MISS

6 MAY Cavalier vs Harbour View Over 2.5 2–1 HIT 6 MAY Waterhouse vs Dunbeholden — NO PICK 4–0 —6 MAY Treasure Beach vs Molynes Utd BTTS -13% 0–2 MISS 6 MAY Spanish Town P. vs Racing United Away 0–4 HIT 6 MAY Portmore Utd vs Tivoli Gardens Home -16% 3–0 HIT 6 MAY Mount Pleasant vs Montego Bay BTTS -12% 2–1 HIT 6 MAY Chapelton vs Arnett Gardens BTTS 2–7 HIT 3 MAY Arnett Gardens vs Spanish Town P. Home 6–0 HIT 3 MAY Dunbeholden vs Mount Pleasant — NO PICK 0–5 —3 MAY Molynes Utd vs Harbour View BTTS 0–1 MISS 3 MAY Montego Bay vs Treasure Beach Home -23% 0–2 MISS 3 MAY Racing United vs Portmore Utd — NO PICK 1–1 —3 MAY Tivoli Gardens vs Cavalier — NO PICK 0–2 —3 MAY Waterhouse vs Chapelton — NO PICK 3–0 —

April 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS

27 APR Molynes Utd vs Tivoli Gardens BTTS 2–0 MISS