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Spanish Town P. vs Racing United Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 39 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 20:30

Spanish Town P.

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Racing United

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-112.5%0-213.4%0-39.6%0-4+8.5%1 1-04.0%1-18.7%1-29.4%1-36.7%1-4+5.9%2 2-01.4%2-13.0%2-23.3%2-32.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-20.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.5% — — —

Draw 23.6% — — —

Away win 63.9% — — —

Over 2.5 54.3% — — —

Over 3.5 31.9% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob51.0%

A 64% / xG 0.7-2.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%

#2 0–1 12.5%

#3 1–1 8.7%

#4 0–3 9.6%

#5 1–2 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Spanish Town P.0.7

Racing United2.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 31.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SPANISH TOWN P. · PPG 1.00

RACING UNITED · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Spanish Town P. (H) 12.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Racing United (A) 63.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Spanish Town P. face Racing United in Jamaica - Premier League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Spanish Town P. a 13% chance, the draw 24% and Racing United 64%, so Racing United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Spanish Town P. and 2.1 for Racing United (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Spanish Town P. are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.42 for Racing United. This match finished 0-4.

Spanish Town P. vs Racing United Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions