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Arnett Gardens vs Spanish Town P. Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Jamaica - Premier League logo Jamaica flag Jamaica - Premier League Regular Season - 38 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex· Kingston Sunday, May 3, 2026 20:30
Arnett Gardens logo Arnett Gardens PPG 1.33
6-0 MISS
Spanish Town P. logo Spanish Town P. PPG 0.42
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Arnett Gardens face Spanish Town P. in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arnett Gardens a 69% chance, the draw 20% and Spanish Town P. 11%, so Arnett Gardens are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Arnett Gardens and 0.8 for Spanish Town P. (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arnett Gardens are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.42 for Spanish Town P.. This match finished 6-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 20.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 10.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.0% Odds: —
Over 3.5 37.7% Odds: —
BTTS 51.4% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Arnett Gardens
2.29
Spanish Town P.
0.81

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 37%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.33), Away POOR (0.42) - Strong consensus

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