Today / Jamaica - Premier League / Racing United vs Portmore Utd

Racing United vs Portmore Utd Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 38 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 20:30

Racing United

PPG 1.61 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Portmore Utd

PPG 1.74 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-111.3%0-25.7%0-31.9%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.2%1-113.3%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.8%2-17.9%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.1%3-13.1%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.8% 32.3% 3.10 +17.2%

Draw 33.1% 32.3% 3.10 +2.6%

Away win 29.2% 47.6% 2.10 -38.7%

Over 2.5 37.5% 43.5% 2.30 -13.8%

Over 3.5 17.9% 25.1% 3.98 -28.8%

BTTS 46.1% 52.6% 1.90 -12.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.1%

D 33% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.3%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 13.2%

#4 0–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing United1.2

Portmore Utd1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.5% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING UNITED · PPG 1.61

PORTMORE UTD · PPG 1.74

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.61), Away GOOD (1.74)

Win probability 1X2

Racing United (H) 37.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +17.2%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +2.6%

Portmore Utd (A) 29.2%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -38.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing United face Portmore Utd in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing United a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Portmore Utd 29%, so Racing United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Racing United and 1.0 for Portmore Utd (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing United are averaging 1.61 points per game versus 1.74 for Portmore Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.2%. This match finished 1-1.

Racing United vs Portmore Utd Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Jamaica - Premier League Predictions