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Molynes Utd vs Harbour View Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 38 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 20:30

Molynes Utd

PPG 1.17 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Harbour View

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.67)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.9%0-17.0%0-24.2%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.6%1-111.5%1-26.9%1-32.7%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.9%2-19.4%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.3%3-15.2%3-23.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% — — —

Draw 27.9% — — —

Away win 26.1% — — —

Over 2.5 53.8% — — —

Over 3.5 31.5% — — —

BTTS 57.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob57.9%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–0 9.6%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 0–0 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Molynes Utd1.6

Harbour View1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

MOLYNES UTD · PPG 1.17

HARBOUR VIEW · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Molynes Utd (H) 46.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Harbour View (A) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Molynes Utd face Harbour View in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Molynes Utd a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Harbour View 26%, so Molynes Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Molynes Utd and 1.2 for Harbour View (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Molynes Utd are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.67 for Harbour View. This match finished 0-1.

Molynes Utd vs Harbour View Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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