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Cavalier vs Harbour View Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 39 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 20:30

Cavalier

PPG 1.56 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Harbour View

PPG 0.79 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-14.3%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.6%1-19.3%1-25.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.6%3-17.0%3-23.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.2%4+-23.3%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 2–1✓ 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 8.6%

#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cavalier2.1

Harbour View1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

CAVALIER · PPG 1.56

HARBOUR VIEW · PPG 0.79

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away POOR (0.79)

Win probability 1X2

Cavalier (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Harbour View (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cavalier face Harbour View in Jamaica - Premier League on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cavalier a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Harbour View 23%, so Cavalier are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Cavalier and 1.1 for Harbour View (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cavalier are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.79 for Harbour View. This match finished 2-1.

Cavalier vs Harbour View Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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