Today / Jamaica - Premier League / Dunbeholden vs Mount Pleasant

Dunbeholden vs Mount Pleasant Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Regular Season - 38 ·Sunday, May 3, 2026, 20:30

Dunbeholden

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

Mount Pleasant

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-114.5%0-28.7%0-33.5%0-4+1.4%1 1-011.0%1-113.2%1-28.0%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-05.0%2-16.1%2-23.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.5%3-11.8%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.9% — — —

Draw 33.3% — — —

Away win 40.8% — — —

Over 2.5 35.6% — — —

Over 3.5 16.5% — — —

BTTS 44.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -3.3%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob44.0%

A 41% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 12.0%

#3 0–1 14.5%

#4 1–0 11.0%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dunbeholden0.9

Mount Pleasant1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.6% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DUNBEHOLDEN · PPG 1.67

MOUNT PLEASANT · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Dunbeholden (H) 25.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mount Pleasant (A) 40.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dunbeholden face Mount Pleasant in Jamaica - Premier League on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dunbeholden a 26% chance, the draw 33% and Mount Pleasant 41%, so Mount Pleasant are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dunbeholden and 1.2 for Mount Pleasant (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dunbeholden are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.47 for Mount Pleasant. This match finished 0-5.

Dunbeholden vs Mount Pleasant Prediction— Jamaica - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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