Leagues / ITALY / Serie D - Girone I
Serie D - Girone I
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 28 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
53.6%
1X2
15/28
60.7%
O/U 2.5
17/28
50.0%
BTTS
14/28
57.1%
Exact score
16/28
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
8
Settled
75.0%
Hit rate
6/8
1.68
Avg odds
+17.9%
ROI
+1.4u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=5 80.0% HIT · AVG 1.58 · +14.0% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.76 · -13.5% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.00 · +100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+57.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
50%
Hit
+0.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
75%
Hit
+7.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 5 PICKS · 3 HIT · 2 MISS
3 MAY Savoia vs Sancataldese Home -15% 3–0 HIT3 MAY ACR Messina vs Milazzo — NO PICK 1–0 —3 MAY CastrumFavara vs Enna BTTS -4% 2–2 HIT3 MAY Gelbison vs Gela BTTS 2–0 MISS3 MAY Nissa vs Paterno Home 4–1 HIT3 MAY Ragusa vs AC Palermo — NO PICK 1–2 —3 MAY Reggina vs Sambiase — NO PICK 4–2 —3 MAY Vibonese vs Acireale BTTS -7% 1–0 MISS3 MAY Vigor Lamezia vs Igea Virtus — NO PICK 4–1 —April 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS
26 APR Sambiase vs Nissa — NO PICK 1–1 —26 APR Sancataldese vs Vigor Lamezia BTTS 1–1 HIT26 APR AC Palermo vs Savoia Over 2.5 +18% 1–3 HIT26 APR Acireale vs Ragusa — NO PICK 0–0 —26 APR Enna vs Gelbison Over 2.5 0–1 MISS26 APR Gela vs Vibonese Over 2.5 1–1 MISS