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Vigor Lamezia vs Igea Virtus Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 34 Stadio Guido D'Ippolito· Lamezia Terme Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00
Vigor Lamezia logo Vigor Lamezia PPG 1.44
4-1 MISS
Igea Virtus logo Igea Virtus PPG 1.44
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vigor Lamezia face Igea Virtus in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vigor Lamezia a 35% chance, the draw 33% and Igea Virtus 32%, so Vigor Lamezia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vigor Lamezia and 1.1 for Igea Virtus (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vigor Lamezia are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.44 for Igea Virtus. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 32.6%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 32.1%
Odds: — EV: —
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 39.6% Odds: —
Over 3.5 19.4% Odds: —
BTTS 48.0% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 0-1
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Vigor Lamezia
1.17
Igea Virtus
1.10

Model Suggestion

No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

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