Gela vs Vibonese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 33 Stadio Vincenzo Presti· Gela Sunday, April 26, 2026 13:00

Gela PPG 1.81

1-1 HIT CS2

Vibonese PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Gela face Vibonese in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gela a 56% chance, the draw 26% and Vibonese 18%, so Gela are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Gela and 0.8 for Vibonese (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gela are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 0.93 for Vibonese. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 25.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 18.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.0% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 31.6% Odds: — —

BTTS 52.6% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 3-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Gela

2.06

Vibonese

0.78

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.81) vs P(Home)=56.2%