CastrumFavara vs Enna Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 34 Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri· Favara Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

CastrumFavara PPG 1.50

2-2 MISS

Enna PPG 0.75

Over2.5· -1.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

CastrumFavara face Enna in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CastrumFavara a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Enna 31%, so CastrumFavara are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for CastrumFavara and 1.2 for Enna (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CastrumFavara are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Enna. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -11.1%

Draw 29.6%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -5.3%

Away 30.9%

Odds: 2.90 EV: -10.4%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.5% Odds: 2.00 -1.0%

Over 3.5 27.6% Odds: 3.50 -3.4%

BTTS 55.6% Odds: 1.73 -3.8%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

CastrumFavara

1.42

Enna

1.24

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5/Under 61%

BTTS/No 50%

Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)