Ragusa vs AC Palermo Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 34 Stadio Aldo Campo· Ragusa Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Ragusa PPG 1.38

1-2 HIT CS5

AC Palermo PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ragusa face AC Palermo in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ragusa a 32% chance, the draw 32% and AC Palermo 36%, so AC Palermo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ragusa and 1.2 for AC Palermo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ragusa are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.63 for AC Palermo. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 32.0%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 36.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 41.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 20.8% Odds: — —

BTTS 49.4% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Ragusa

1.12

AC Palermo

1.22

Model SuggestionNo Bet  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away GOOD (1.63)