Leagues / ITALY / Serie D - Girone D
Serie D - Girone D
● LOW SAMPLE
FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 27 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
44.4%
1X2
12/27
44.4%
O/U 2.5
12/27
48.1%
BTTS
13/27
55.6%
Exact score
15/27
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
7
Settled
42.9%
Hit rate
3/7
1.58
Avg odds
-31.9%
ROI
-2.2u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=5 40.0% HIT · AVG 1.48 · -37.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · +62.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
5
Bets
60%
Hit
-4.6%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 2 PICKS · 1 HIT · 1 MISS
3 MAY Tuttocuoio vs Trevigliese — NO PICK 3–3 —3 MAY Sangiuliano C. vs Desenzano — NO PICK 0–5 —3 MAY Progresso vs Sasso Marconi — NO PICK 4–1 —3 MAY Pro Palazzolo vs Coriano — NO PICK 1–1 —3 MAY Correggese vs Pro Sesto — NO PICK 1–0 —3 MAY Pistoiese vs Cittadella VM — NO PICK 5–0 —3 MAY Piacenza vs Crema Home 3–1 HIT3 MAY Lentigione vs SantAngelo Home 2–2 MISS3 MAY Imolese vs Rovato Vertova — NO PICK 1–0 —April 2026 // 3 PICKS · 1 HIT · 2 MISS
26 APR Pro Sesto vs Tuttocuoio Home 2–0 HIT26 APR Cittadella VM vs Pro Palazzolo — NO PICK 1–0 —26 APR Coriano vs Piacenza BTTS 1–0 MISS26 APR Crema vs Correggese BTTS 0–0 MISS26 APR Desenzano vs Pistoiese — NO PICK 1–1 —26 APR Rovato Vertova vs Sangiuliano C. — NO PICK 2–0 —