Piacenza vs Crema Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Italy - Serie D - Girone D Group D - 34 Stadio Leonardo Garilli· Piacenza Sunday, May 3, 2026 13:00

Piacenza PPG 2.13

3-1 MISS

Crema PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Piacenza face Crema in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, May 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Piacenza a 54% chance, the draw 28% and Crema 19%, so Piacenza are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Piacenza and 0.9 for Crema (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Piacenza are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 1.25 for Crema. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.6%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 27.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 18.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 26.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 50.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Piacenza

1.67

Crema

0.91

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.13) vs P(Home)=53.6%