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Desenzano PPG 2.13 
Pistoiese PPG 2.13
Desenzano vs Pistoiese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D
Desenzano PPG 2.131-1 HIT CS3
Pistoiese PPG 2.13 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Desenzano face Pistoiese in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Desenzano a 41% chance, the draw 33% and Pistoiese 27%, so Desenzano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Desenzano and 0.8 for Pistoiese (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Desenzano are averaging 2.13 points per game versus 2.13 for Pistoiese. This match finished 1-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 12.7% Odds: — —
BTTS 49.5% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 0-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✔
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Desenzano 1.14
Pistoiese 0.77
Model Suggestion
No Bet MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 27 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 48%
Score Hit 56%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
BALANCED 42%
Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.13), Away EXCELLENT (2.13)