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Pro Sesto vs Tuttocuoio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Group D - 33 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 13:00

Pro Sesto

PPG 1.63 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tuttocuoio

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.63), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-11.2%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-011.5%1-13.4%1-20.5%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.0%2-15.0%2-20.7%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-016.7%3-14.9%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-025.4%4+-17.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.1% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 6.9% — — —

Over 2.5 59.0% — — —

Over 3.5 40.6% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 56%

ROI -31.9%

Bet Hit 43%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob39.6%

H 73% / xG 2.9-0.3 / O2.5 59% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 17.0%

#2 3–0 16.7%

#3 4–0 12.3%

#4 1–0 11.5%

#5 5–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pro Sesto2.9

Tuttocuoio0.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PRO SESTO · PPG 1.63

TUTTOCUOIO · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.63), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Pro Sesto (H) 73.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Tuttocuoio (A) 6.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pro Sesto face Tuttocuoio in Italy - Serie D - Girone D on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pro Sesto a 73% chance, the draw 20% and Tuttocuoio 7%, so Pro Sesto are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Pro Sesto and 0.3 for Tuttocuoio (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pro Sesto are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.25 for Tuttocuoio. This match finished 2-0.

Pro Sesto vs Tuttocuoio Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone D

Match Preview & Prediction

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